If we wish to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is a great sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers plus some nice guaranteed profitable bets can be purchased if you know where and when to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your hard earned money from you and there are many inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in many ways be about timing. The sooner the cost appears the much more likely you will have a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do plenty of research as soccer has turn into a big earner on their behalf. They should do this as they are only too conscious that the serious punters have grown to be much shrewder within this market and will exploit any snippets of news that may give them an advantage. They advertise heavily within the tabloids.
Whereas in some minor sports there may be just one odds compiler working for the bookmaker soccer is just too lucrative with this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for your big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will offer odds on soccer, its a high revenue turnover sport.
Such is their turnover on the escalating IBO88 that Ladbrokes as well as other such big bookmakers are willing to require a ‘big’ bet on the outcome of a match. This can be clearly great news for your arb maker. Because of this the maximum bets they will accept on the bet are many higher.
There are lots of kinds of soccer bets. Firstly you have the match winner. This is split into 3 results, win, lose or draw. There are the very first goal scorer and the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total numbers of yellow and red cards and so forth. Actually anything where odds can be set to will offer a betting opportunity.
So what are the best soccer bets to find? Firstly just forget about predicting the match score, you can find too many outcomes. The initial goal scorer is a waste of time too. Both these sorts of bets are heavily advertised however are for mug punters only, the odds consistently available are poor, the bookmakers regularly overtaking 15% profit on the book. These bets have too many possible outcomes. We are trying to find bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
How you can play the soccer industry is to open up accounts with European bookmakers since the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. Both of them have strong opinions about this sport. They are going to price the sport in their country and the matches in foreign countries. Anything to produce a profit.
Italy, as an example is even more soccer crazy than the UK, with newspapers dedicated to the sport. Everyone thinks they know best on this subject and egos get in the form of sensible pricing. This is great news for people. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where since they may well have greater detailed understanding of the comings and goings in their own individual countries they are depending on third parties to collate info on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is in midweek games between teams of different nationalities. There is a tendency in punters to have patriotic when it comes to events where the opposition are ‘foreign’. The probability of the house team get talked up and the odds could get skewed within their favour because the weight of cash is overly wagered within their direction.
With that said the large bookmakers offer an early price, they are going to often advertise it inside the national papers and in general stick with it. Because of this a bench mark continues to be set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or make an effort to tempt cash in their direction by giving different odds. If the would happen the arb may be available for a considerable amount of time.
There are always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers often stick round the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But bear in mind they may be ‘guessing’ just what the odds should be just like you together with me. They are basing their opinion on past experience plus they might utilise statistical formulae but they still have to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can obtain it wrong along with other firms can take a totally different view of the result of any game. A totally different view is only going to result in a slight variation within the odds but this can be enough to provide a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to start with the better obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be included in a number of different bookmakers throughout Europe. This may however give a complication. Although quite simple to find arbs, the mere proven fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw the possibility that you are likely to get spotted by the bookmakers should you concentrate your action here.
Also they will be unwilling to accept high maximum bets on matches where they may have done little research. On the other hand it is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You need to weigh up the advantages and disadvantages of the strategy.
This can be a fairly obscure section of betting and if someone ended up being to check your bank account over numerous months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on the account it might ring alarm bells. The motto is to dilute the bets by betting on as numerous different form of sport and events as is possible which means that your accounts have varied bets on them. This shouldn’t become a problem as many different sports are great for sure bets.
The greater prominent European ties will also produce arbs and they are generally less likely to attract focus on you and the highest bets will likely be higher.
As before you are unable to control if the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to one winning one can come in handy on the account. The point the following is that not lots of people are thinking about the lower European divisions and it also may become clear that this betting pattern is a little unusual. This is also true should your bets to the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be a lucrative area in soccer. Think about it. If a player fails a late fitness test on the Saturday and he is definitely the teams star striker this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play on the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. Nevertheless the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this and altered prices as the money poured set for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted whatsoever. Either way arbs were available. This type of last minute frantic activity is extremely keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair in which you can serve as the punter or perhaps the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the many soccer web sites. Alternatively satellite television channels always have comprehensive news coverage of all the games and are quick to offer you any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, although not all simultaneously, only one by one so creating sure bets.
In this scenario where charges are changing bet on the old price first. The new cost is the one which wont change the previous price is the one that is about to and so may be lost if you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be all about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then the arbs are more likely to look.
Recently the English referees have become more lenient in the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for your total variety of bookings in a game. A number of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly as well as others did not. This will change the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s look at the red and yellow card market. In the event you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for a yellow card and 25 points for any red. A player can obtain a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting the following is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say likelihood of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 and also over 30 points, probably the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a medical history of animosity between the teams by which case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this type of bet will not figure strongly inside your plans. And it also is unusual to find information being issued that will impact the total bookings bet. But a simple piece of news like the policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to one or more arb. The conclusion is not really to expect excessive sure betting activity from your issuing of red and yellow cards however it not so difficult to check the odds.